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Investmentbolagens prislapp: Är substansrabatt en signal om framtida avkastning?: Har investmentbolag med substansrabatt överpresterat mot de med substanspremie under de senaste åtta åren?
Halmstad University, School of Business, Innovation and Sustainability.
Halmstad University, School of Business, Innovation and Sustainability.
2025 (Swedish)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesisAlternative title
Investment companies price tags: Is net asset value discount a signal of future returns? : Have investment companies with net asset value discount outperformed those with premiums over the past eight years? (English)
Abstract [sv]

Syftet med denna studien är att beskriva huruvida det föreligger ett samband mellan substansrabattens storlek och totalavkastningen för investmentbolag under perioden 2017-2024. Studien ämnar att besvara om investmentbolag som handlas till substansrabatt har överpresterat i förhållande till bolag som handlas till substanspremie, samt beskriva om det finns ett statistiskt signifikant samband mellan substansrabatt och totalavkastning. För att adressera studiens frågeställningar har en kvantitativ metod tillämpats med utgångspunkt i sekundärdata från nio svenska investmentbolag. Analysen innefattar både deskriptiv statistik och en regressionsmodell baserad på kvartalsvis data avseende substansrabatt och totalavkastning. 

Resultaten indikerar att investmentbolag med en hög substansrabatt, i flera fall, har uppvisat en starkare framtida totalavkastning i jämförelse med de bolag som har uppvisat en låg substansrabatt eller en substanspremie. Regressionsanalysen antyder emellertid ett generellt svagt signifikant samband mellan de aktuella variablerna, med en låg förklaringsgrad. 

Slutsatsen är att substansrabatt kan betraktas som en möjlig indikator för framtida avkastning, men det är av stor vikt att denna indikator tillämpas med försiktighet och i kombination med andra analysmetoder. Denna studie bidrar med ett kompletterande perspektiv till tidigare forskning om marknadseffektivitet och värdering av investmentbolag.

Abstract [en]

The purpose of this study is to describe whether there is a relationship between the size of the net asset value discount and the total return of investment companies during the period 2017-2024. The study aims to answer whether investment companies traded at a net asset value discount have outperformed companies traded at a premium, and to describe whether there is a statistically significant relationship between net asset value discount and total return. To address the study's questions, a quantitative method has been applied based on secondary data from nine Swedish investment companies. The analysis includes both descriptive statistics and a regression model based on quarterly data on net asset value discount and total return. 

The results indicate that, in several cases, investment companies with a high net asset value discount have shown a stronger future total return compared to those companies with a low net asset value discount or a premium. However, the regression analysis suggests a generally weakly significant relationship between the variables in question, with a low degree of explanation. 

The conclusion is that the discount can be considered as a possible indicator of future returns, but it is of great importance that this indicator is applied with caution and in combination with other analytical methods. This study contributes a complementary perspective to previous research on market efficiency and investment company valuation. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. , p. 54
Keywords [sv]
Investmentbolag, substansrabatt, substanspremie, substansvärde, avkastning, totalavkastning
National Category
Business Administration
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hh:diva-56139OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hh-56139DiVA, id: diva2:1962667
Subject / course
Business
Educational program
Business Administration and Economics Programme, 180 credits
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2025-06-13 Created: 2025-06-02 Last updated: 2025-10-01Bibliographically approved

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Citation style
  • apa
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