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From Silos to Ecosystems? Radical Exploration and Transformation in District Heating
Halmstad University, School of Business, Innovation and Sustainability.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3880-1909
2026 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

The energy transition is creating new challenges for district heating (DH) firms. These firms operate capital-intensive infrastructure with long investment cycles and strong requirements for reliability, while at the same time facing pressure from decarbonisation, electrification, digitalisation, new customer demands, and increasing competition from alternative heating solutions such as heat pumps. Historically, innovation in DH has mainly focused on improving existing production and distribution systems. This production-oriented and incremental innovation logic may become insufficient as the energy transition requires DH firms to address increasingly complex problems involving new technologies, customers, and external actors.

Less is known about how incumbent DH firms search for more distant solutions, collaborate with external actors, and reorganise value creation when incremental improvement is no longer sufficient.

The purpose of this doctoral thesis is to understand how innovation in the district heating sector develops under conditions of energy transition. More specifically, the thesis examines how DH firms engage in exploration with external partners, and how such exploration may reconfigure inter-firm relationships and existing value systems.

The thesis comprises a compendium and five papers and uses a predominantly qualitative and exploratory research design. The empirical material includes a structured literature review, workshops, interviews, observations, documentary material, and longitudinal case studies involving DH firms and other actors in several European contexts.

Three major findings emerge from the thesis.

First, innovation in the DH sector remains predominantly incremental and strongly shaped by path dependence. DH firms have developed considerable capabilities for improving production, distribution, fuel use, and operational efficiency within established technological and organisational structures. Long-lived assets, sunk costs, regulatory arrangements, established supplier relationships, and demands for reliability all reinforce this exploitation-oriented logic. These conditions have supported reliable and increasingly low-carbon heat supply, but they also encourage local search around familiar technologies and solutions. Transformation of the DH firms therefore tends to be gradual, uneven, and selective rather than disruptive. 

Second, the empirical cases show that radical exploration in DH takes several distinct forms, depending on technological distance, the actors involved, and how innovation is organised across organisational boundaries. The thesis identifies five patterns of radical exploration, ranging from supplier-led development within the incumbent DH system to customer integration, entrant-led innovation, and emerging ecosystem-based configurations in the production respectively customer sides. Across these patterns, the locus of innovation gradually moves away from the production core of the DH firm toward customers, property owners, technology suppliers, entrants, complementors, and other external actors. The actor leading innovation may therefore also change. Radical exploration is consequently not only a search for new technology; it is also a search for partners, capabilities, and suitable ways of organising collaboration across firms.

Third, the findings show that transformation in heating is increasingly about how value creation is organised, not only about which technology is used. Traditional DH is typically organised as a hierarchy-based value system in which one focal firm controls production, distribution, and the customer interface. Individual heat pumps are more commonly embedded in market-based arrangements, while new combinations of district heating, heat pumps, cooling, storage, digital technologies, and customer-side resources may require more ecosystem-based forms of coordination. Competition in the heating sector can therefore increasingly be understood as competition between alternative value-system configurations. Platform-based ecosystems represent one possible emerging coordination mechanism, although the thesis finds that such configurations are still at an early stage and introduce new challenges related to governance, control, dependency, and value capture.

Overall, the thesis shows that the transformation of district heating is best understood as a gradual reconfiguration of innovation search, actor roles, and value systems. Incumbent DH firms remain strongly rooted in established infrastructure logics, but pressures from electrification, digitalisation, customer integration, and new entrants are expanding the solution landscape. Moving from silos toward more ecosystem-like forms of innovation therefore requires not only new technologies, but also new ways of searching, collaborating, and coordinating value creation across organisational boundaries. 

The findings may also inform understanding of innovation and transformation in other mature infrastructure-based utilities characterised by long-lived assets, path dependence, and increasing technological uncertainty.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Halmstad: Halmstad University Press, 2026. , p. 90
Series
Halmstad University Dissertations ; 143
National Category
Other Engineering and Technologies
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hh:diva-60368ISBN: 978-91-90123-11-9 (print)ISBN: 978-91-90123-10-2 (electronic)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hh-60368DiVA, id: diva2:2103031
Public defence
2026-11-05, S1020, Kristian IV:s väg 3, 302 50, Halmstad, 10:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Funder
VinnovaAvailable from: 2026-09-21 Created: 2026-09-21 Last updated: 2026-09-24Bibliographically approved
List of papers
1. Is Innovation Redesigning District Heating? A Systematic Literature Review
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Is Innovation Redesigning District Heating? A Systematic Literature Review
2021 (English)In: Designs, E-ISSN 2411-9660, Vol. 5, no 1, p. 1-21, article id 7Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The district heating (DH) industry has been characterized by continuous innovation for several decades, but there is limited knowledge on the characteristics of the sector’s innovation activities, arguably the most important information for understanding how the sector can continue to develop and further support the energy transition of society. We perform a systematic literature review (SLR) to identify the types of innovation, the levels of innovation and the relation between different innovations in the DH sector. A total of 899 articles are analyzed and coded into eight groups: fuel, supply, distribution, transfer, DH system, city system, impact and business. Most of the articles (68%) were identified in the groups: “supply”, “DH system,” and “impact”, with a focus on DH from a system or production perspective and its environmental impact. We find that there is limited research on DH firms” challenges, including management perspectives, such as asset management and customer focus. Despite this potential, we find only a limited number of articles related to innovation. Not much scholarly attention has been given to areas of large cost-saving, especially capital cost. © 2021 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Basel: MDPI, 2021
Keywords
District heating, Innovation, Literature review
National Category
Energy Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hh:diva-46129 (URN)10.3390/designs5010007 (DOI)2-s2.0-85102596469 (Scopus ID)
Projects
Smart Asset Management
Funder
Vinnova
Available from: 2021-12-17 Created: 2021-12-17 Last updated: 2026-09-21Bibliographically approved
2. Opportunities for Machine Learning in District Heating
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Opportunities for Machine Learning in District Heating
Show others...
2021 (English)In: Applied Sciences, E-ISSN 2076-3417, Vol. 11, no 13, article id 6112Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The district heating (DH) industry is facing an important transformation towards more efficient networks that utilise significantly lower water temperatures to distribute the heat. This change requires taking advantage of new technologies, and Machine Learning (ML) is a popular direction. In the last decade, we have witnessed an extreme growth in the number of published research papers that focus on applying ML techniques to the DH domain. However, based on our experience in the field, and an extensive review of the state-of-the-art, we perceive a mismatch between the most popular research directions, such as forecasting, and the challenges faced by the DH industry. In this work, we present our findings, explain and demonstrate the key gaps between the two communities and suggest a road-map ahead towards increasing the impact of ML research in the DH industry. © 2021 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Basel: MDPI, 2021
Keywords
Machine Learning, district heating, review, road-map, research opportunities
National Category
Energy Systems Energy Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hh:diva-45190 (URN)10.3390/app11136112 (DOI)000672314400001 ()2-s2.0-85110014396 (Scopus ID)
Projects
Data Analytics for Fault Detection in District Heating (DAD)Self-Monitoring for Innovation (SeMI)SAM
Funder
Knowledge Foundation, 20170182Vinnova, 2018-03349
Note

Funding: The work presented in this article was financed by the Swedish Knowledge Foundation (KK-stiftelsen http://www.kks.se/om-oss/in-english/ accessed on 15 May 2021) under grant Dnr.20170182 within the project Data Analytics for Fault Detection in District Heating (DAD) and grant Dnr.20160301 within the project Self-Monitoring for Innovation (SeMI). The Swedish agency for innovation, VINNOVA (https://www.vinnova.se/en accessed on 15 May 2021), financed the work in this article through the SAM project, Dnr. 2018-03349.

Available from: 2021-06-30 Created: 2021-06-30 Last updated: 2026-09-21Bibliographically approved
3. Shifting between complementor and supplier relations in digital product-service system innovation
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Shifting between complementor and supplier relations in digital product-service system innovation
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Digital product-service system (PSS) innovation requires firms to combine service knowledge with product, sensor, software, data, and customer-facing capabilities. This creates a challenge for resource-constrained service-oriented firms: they may need external partners, yet the choice between complementors and suppliers is neither trivial nor made only once. Given the scarcity of research, this paper explains how a small technology service firm searched for, evaluated, and reconfigured inter-organizational relations while developing a digital PSS for predictive maintenance in district heating networks. Based on a longitudinal single-case study involving interviews, observations, workshops, customer meetings, internal documentation, and secondary material from eleven organizations, the paper traces how partner roles evolved across four phases: early experimentation, development and integration, stabilization, and market expansion. Complementor relations initially enabled access, speed, and cost reduction when the focal firm lacked resources and the PSS architecture was uncertain. As technological interdependencies, quality problems, lock-in, and control concerns accumulated, the focal firm shifted toward supplier relations to gain ownership and reduce uncertainty. Later, downstream complementor search created role ambiguity and competitor risk. The paper contributes to PSS innovation, innovative search, and ecosystem research by showing that partner roles may be fluid, that shifts are shaped by search heuristics, interdependencies, and evolving organizational capability, and that digital PSS innovation unfolds as an iterative process rather than a linear make-or-buy choice. For managers, the findings indicate when complementor relations support low-cost experimentation and when accumulated learning makes supplier relations preferable for ownership, control, and stabilization.

Keywords
digital product-service systems, innovation search, complementor; supplier, interorganizational relations, technological interdependence, value expansion
National Category
Business Administration Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified Other Engineering and Technologies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hh:diva-60321 (URN)
Available from: 2026-09-11 Created: 2026-09-11 Last updated: 2026-09-21Bibliographically approved
4. From islands to platforms: Innovation pathways for district heating firms across Europe
Open this publication in new window or tab >>From islands to platforms: Innovation pathways for district heating firms across Europe
2025 (English)In: Energy Research & Social Science, ISSN 2214-6296, E-ISSN 2214-6326, Vol. 127, p. 1-10, article id 104317Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Technologies such as district heating (DH), district cooling (DC) and heat pumps are essential for improving heating and cooling efficiency and supporting decarbonization goals. Although advancements such as nextgeneration DH promises lower temperatures and increased flexibility, these technologies are insufficient to reach such targets in isolation. While there is ongoing convergence between DH, heat pumps, and energy storage, the literature pays scant attention to how actors innovate by combining and integrating these technologies. Thus, there is a significant need for a greater understanding of the innovative efforts of DH firms. This study explains how seven European DH firms innovated to create and deliver value by changing their organizational, technological, and interfirm engagements. By analysing the cases through the lens of platform literature, our analysis reveals a shift away from traditional incumbent value systems and the emergence of new platform-based value systems that incorporate platform envelopment of gas and heat pumps into DH. The changes consist of three distinct innovation pathways. First, incumbent DH firms are improving traditional systems by refining customer interfaces and integrating digital services within their established firm boundaries. Second, smaller collaborative entrants engage with incumbents to form platform-based systems downstream of the incumbents. Third, larger disruptive entrants establish independent platforms with localized, network-connected heat pumps and storage, directly challenging incumbent value systems by offering alternative heating and cooling solutions. The study demonstrates that district heating is no island, but part of an interconnected and evolving ecosystem where innovation emerges through technological integration and inter-firm collaboration © 2025 The Authors.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2025
Keywords
District heating, Energy, Innovation, Platforms, Firm entry
National Category
Other Social Sciences not elsewhere specified
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hh:diva-58419 (URN)10.1016/j.erss.2025.104317 (DOI)001569620300001 ()2-s2.0-105015221935 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Vinnova
Available from: 2026-02-13 Created: 2026-02-13 Last updated: 2026-09-21Bibliographically approved
5. Ecosystems, capital structure, and entrepreneurial action
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Ecosystems, capital structure, and entrepreneurial action
2025 (English)In: Research Handbook on Austrian Economics in Management and Entrepreneurship / [ed] Gupta, Vishal K.; Bylund, Per L., Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2025, p. 112-129Chapter in book (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The literature has played scant attention to how entrepreneurial action transforms ecosystems. This chapter shows how this transformation takes place by drawing on the Austrian theory of capital, which portrays the capital structure as a changing structure of means–ends relationships shaped by entrepreneurial action aiming to satisfy human needs for a profit. New capital resources, such as new tools, create opportunities for new resource combinations, but only some combinations are technically and economically feasible. The extent of this multiple specificity, together with the extent to which entrepreneurs can abstract knowledge by using a tool, will be a powerful factor concerning whether the ecosystem will remain or shift into a hierarchy or market-based value system. © The Editors and Contributors Severally 2025.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2025
Series
Research Handbooks in Business and Management series
Keywords
Capital structure, Entrepreneurial action, Ecosystem, Multiple specificity, Knowledge abstraction, Value system
National Category
Other Engineering and Technologies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hh:diva-60366 (URN)10.4337/9781035341870 (DOI)001665874900006 ()2-s2.0-105033797815 (Scopus ID)9781035341863 (ISBN)9781035341870 (ISBN)
Available from: 2026-09-18 Created: 2026-09-18 Last updated: 2026-09-21Bibliographically approved

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