The energy transition is creating new challenges for district heating (DH) firms. These firms operate capital-intensive infrastructure with long investment cycles and strong requirements for reliability, while at the same time facing pressure from decarbonisation, electrification, digitalisation, new customer demands, and increasing competition from alternative heating solutions such as heat pumps. Historically, innovation in DH has mainly focused on improving existing production and distribution systems. This production-oriented and incremental innovation logic may become insufficient as the energy transition requires DH firms to address increasingly complex problems involving new technologies, customers, and external actors.
Less is known about how incumbent DH firms search for more distant solutions, collaborate with external actors, and reorganise value creation when incremental improvement is no longer sufficient.
The purpose of this doctoral thesis is to understand how innovation in the district heating sector develops under conditions of energy transition. More specifically, the thesis examines how DH firms engage in exploration with external partners, and how such exploration may reconfigure inter-firm relationships and existing value systems.
The thesis comprises a compendium and five papers and uses a predominantly qualitative and exploratory research design. The empirical material includes a structured literature review, workshops, interviews, observations, documentary material, and longitudinal case studies involving DH firms and other actors in several European contexts.
Three major findings emerge from the thesis.
First, innovation in the DH sector remains predominantly incremental and strongly shaped by path dependence. DH firms have developed considerable capabilities for improving production, distribution, fuel use, and operational efficiency within established technological and organisational structures. Long-lived assets, sunk costs, regulatory arrangements, established supplier relationships, and demands for reliability all reinforce this exploitation-oriented logic. These conditions have supported reliable and increasingly low-carbon heat supply, but they also encourage local search around familiar technologies and solutions. Transformation of the DH firms therefore tends to be gradual, uneven, and selective rather than disruptive.
Second, the empirical cases show that radical exploration in DH takes several distinct forms, depending on technological distance, the actors involved, and how innovation is organised across organisational boundaries. The thesis identifies five patterns of radical exploration, ranging from supplier-led development within the incumbent DH system to customer integration, entrant-led innovation, and emerging ecosystem-based configurations in the production respectively customer sides. Across these patterns, the locus of innovation gradually moves away from the production core of the DH firm toward customers, property owners, technology suppliers, entrants, complementors, and other external actors. The actor leading innovation may therefore also change. Radical exploration is consequently not only a search for new technology; it is also a search for partners, capabilities, and suitable ways of organising collaboration across firms.
Third, the findings show that transformation in heating is increasingly about how value creation is organised, not only about which technology is used. Traditional DH is typically organised as a hierarchy-based value system in which one focal firm controls production, distribution, and the customer interface. Individual heat pumps are more commonly embedded in market-based arrangements, while new combinations of district heating, heat pumps, cooling, storage, digital technologies, and customer-side resources may require more ecosystem-based forms of coordination. Competition in the heating sector can therefore increasingly be understood as competition between alternative value-system configurations. Platform-based ecosystems represent one possible emerging coordination mechanism, although the thesis finds that such configurations are still at an early stage and introduce new challenges related to governance, control, dependency, and value capture.
Overall, the thesis shows that the transformation of district heating is best understood as a gradual reconfiguration of innovation search, actor roles, and value systems. Incumbent DH firms remain strongly rooted in established infrastructure logics, but pressures from electrification, digitalisation, customer integration, and new entrants are expanding the solution landscape. Moving from silos toward more ecosystem-like forms of innovation therefore requires not only new technologies, but also new ways of searching, collaborating, and coordinating value creation across organisational boundaries.
The findings may also inform understanding of innovation and transformation in other mature infrastructure-based utilities characterised by long-lived assets, path dependence, and increasing technological uncertainty.
Halmstad: Halmstad University Press, 2026. , p. 90