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Utilizing artificial intelligence and medical experts to identify predictors for common diagnoses in dyspneic adults: A cross-sectional study of consecutive emergency department patients from Southern Sweden
Halland Hospital, Region Halland, Halmstad, Sweden; Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
Halmstad University, School of Information Technology. Halland Hospital, Region Halland, Halmstad, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5688-0156
Lund University, Lund, Sweden; Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden.
Halmstad University, School of Information Technology. Lund University, Lund, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1145-4297
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2025 (English)In: International Journal of Medical Informatics, ISSN 1386-5056, E-ISSN 1872-8243, Vol. 202, p. 1-12, article id 105969Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Objective: Half of all adult emergency department (ED) visits with a complaint of dyspnea involve acute heart failure (AHF), exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (eCOPD), or pneumonia, which are often misdiagnosed. We aimed to create an artificial intelligence (AI) diagnostic decision support tool to detect patients with AHF, eCOPD, and pneumonia among dyspneic adults at the beginning of their ED visit. Methods: In this cross-sectional study, we included all ED visits of patients 18 years or older with dyspnea at two regional Swedish EDs 07/01/2017–12/31/2019. In-hospital or ED discharge notes were used as outcome labels, with a subset manually reviewed by experts. We analyzed data from a complete regional healthcare system, along with socioeconomic factors, using Hierarchical Attention Networks. Each patient displayed a unique set of variables important for diagnosing dyspnea. All patients’ unique variable sets were aggregated into a variable list. The top 100, 50, and 20 variables were tested in a simpler CatBoost model. Finally, performance was compared after adding medical expertise to the AI model. Results: We included 10,869 visits, with 15.1% having AHF, 13.6% eCOPD, and 13.1% pneumonia. The median number of variables per unique ED visit was 187 (IQR 111–307). Aggregating the unique sets of variables resulted in a cohort list of 2,064 variables. The median micro AUROC was 87.8% (2.5–97.5 percentile; 86.4–89.3%). Age, ECGs, previous diagnoses, and medication were considered important by the AI model, while sex, vital signs, and socioeconomic factors were deemed almost non-predictive. Using the top 20 AI-selected variables, the AUROC was 86.6% (85.1–88.1%). Adding human medical expertise did not significantly change the AUROC. Conclusion: Based on the analysis of a high-dimensional dataset, we designed a lightweight 20-variable machine learning model that can early and effectively diagnose AHF, eCOPD, and pneumonia among ED patients with dyspnea. © 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Shannon: Elsevier Ireland Ltd. , 2025. Vol. 202, p. 1-12, article id 105969
Keywords [en]
Artificial intelligence, Diagnostics, Emergency department, Emergency medicine, Machine learning
National Category
Cardiology and Cardiovascular Disease
Research subject
Health Innovation, IDC
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hh:diva-56432DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2025.105969ISI: 001501065600001PubMedID: 40440912Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105006707766OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hh-56432DiVA, id: diva2:1975765
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2019-00198Region Halland, 979314
Note

Funding: This study was part of the AIR Lund (Artificially Intelligent use of Registers at Lund University) research network in Lund, Sweden. The work was funded by the Swedish Research Council [Grant no. 2019–00198]; the Scientific Council of Region Halland, Sweden [Grant no. 979314]; Sparbanksstiftelsen Varberg, Sweden [Grant no. 980763]; and the foundation Stiftelsen Landshövding Per Westlings Minnesfond, Sweden [Grant no. RMh2020-0007]. The funders had no role in the study design, data collection, analysis, interpretation, writing of the report, or the decision to submit the article for publication.

Available from: 2025-06-24 Created: 2025-06-24 Last updated: 2025-10-28Bibliographically approved

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Ashfaq, AwaisOhlsson, MattiasLingman, Markus

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