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Comparing waist circumference with body mass index on obesity-related cancer risk: a pooled Swedish study
Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4134-6935
Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-6808-4405
Halmstad University, School of Information Technology. Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1215-8625
Lund University, Malmö, Sweden; Africa Academy of Public Health, Dar Es Salaam, Tanzania; KCMC University, Moshi, Tanzania.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9861-5879
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2025 (English)In: Journal of the National Cancer Institute, ISSN 0027-8874, E-ISSN 1460-2105, p. 1-11Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Background: General adiposity, assessed by body mass index (BMI), is a well-established cancer risk factor. This study compared waist circumference (WC), a measure of abdominal adiposity, with BMI as a risk factor for obesity-related cancers, and assessed whether WC provides additional information beyond BMI. Methods: We analyzed data from 339 190 individuals in a pooled Swedish cohort with baseline BMI and WC assessments from 1981 to 2019 (61% objectively measured, mean age 51.4 years). Cancer diagnoses were obtained from the Swedish Cancer Register. Hazard ratios (HRs) for WC and BMI were calculated using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression. To account for WC’s greater variability, we corrected HRs using regression dilution ratios. To assess WC’s additional contribution beyond BMI, we analyzed WC residuals in multivariable, BMI-adjusted models.Results: During a median follow-up of 13.9 years (interquartile range: 8.0-22.5), 18 185 IARC-established obesity-related cancers were recorded. In men, a 1-standard deviation (SD) increase in WC was associated with a 25% higher risk of obesity-related cancers (HR1-SD = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.21 to 1.30), compared to a 19% increase for BMI (HR1-SD = 1.19, 95% CI = 1.15 to 1.23, P = 0.014 for heterogeneity). Among women, associations were weaker and similar for both WC (HR1-SD = 1.13, 95% CI = 1.11 to 1.16) and BMI (HR1-SD = 1.13, 95% CI = 1.11 to 1.15, P = 0.357 for heterogeneity). Waist circumference residuals were more strongly associated with obesity-related cancer risk in men (HR1-SD = 1.09, 95% CI = 1.06 to 1.12) than in women (HR1-SD = 1.03, 95% CI = 1.02 to 1.05). Including an additional 6893 potential obesity-related cancers yielded similar patterns of associations.Conclusion(s): Waist circumference is a stronger risk factor than BMI for obesity-related cancer in men, conveying additional risk information, whereas this is less evident in women. © The Author(s) 2025.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2025. p. 1-11
Keywords [en]
obesity, body mass index procedure, cancer, cancer risk, waist, circumference
National Category
Cancer and Oncology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hh:diva-55946DOI: 10.1093/jnci/djaf075ISI: 001468706000001PubMedID: 40156135OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hh-55946DiVA, id: diva2:1955883
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2017-00644Swedish Research Council, 2021-00160Swedish Research Council, 2021-00180Swedish Cancer Society, 230633 SIASwedish Research Council, 2021-01934Available from: 2025-05-02 Created: 2025-05-02 Last updated: 2025-05-09Bibliographically approved

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da Silva, Marisa

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Sun, MingHäggström, Christelda Silva, MarisaMboya, Innocent BLagerros, Ylva TrolleMichaëlsson, KarlSandin, SvenLeppert, JerzyHägg, SaraElmståhl, SölveMagnusson, Patrik K ESöderberg, StefanYin, WeiyaoChabok, AbbasWood, AngelaStocks, TanjaFritz, Josef
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