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A System Approach to Electrification of Transportation – An International Comparison
Halmstad University, School of Business, Innovation and Sustainability. VTI, Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2407-6432
Halmstad University, School of Business, Innovation and Sustainability. Shanghai Dianji University, Shanghai, China; Lund University, Lund, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2111-5977
VTI, Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute, Gothenburg, Sweden.
2022 (English)Report (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Globally, the transportation system is transforming from a fossil-based to an electrification system. Some countries are leading in the transformation process. Some countries are rapidly catching up to become market leaders in developing and introducing new techniques and equipment that support the transformation process in their countries. In contrast, others are still relying on their old fossil-based system or could not have enough understanding of how to deal with this complex transformation of the transportation system.

The electrification of the transportation system is not an isolated system that can be handled as a single technological element. It is a group of multiple technologies, political, societal, and economic sub-systems each of these sub-systems is embedded in each other, forming the whole system. Therefore, it is important to see and manage the system from a holistic perspective to transform the transportation electrification system efficiently. We have selected eight countries from three different continents – Asia (China, India), Australia, which is a country and continent, and Europe (Germany, Norway, Slovenia, Sweden, and the UK) to explore the transformational process of transportation electrification based on each countries’ conditions. We have chosen these continents as they are diversified in adopting transportation electrification system solutions.

Our main conclusions are that the political processes and political decisiveness are the most important, followed by the societal and economic, with technology as the fourth. The other three are difficult to obtain without dedicated and determined political decision-makers. Political decision-makers need to use economic means to support the transformation in society and industry to balance the economic disadvantage of electric systems until they pass the cost disadvantage turning point. Technology is no longer a significant barrier as it was about 20 years ago. Now, technology is available, although it can be improved. The important part is to understand how to utilize the existing technology efficiently to transform the old fossil-based transportation system into new electrification of the transportation system. Without clear and strong political support, the industry cannot be expected to initiate, finance, take risks, and take the lead in this global societal transformation.

Our analysis shows that China is being positioned as the leading country in the world in the electrification of the transportation system because of the strong technological advancements, control of the entire value chain, strong government decisiveness, and execution power in developing and implementing favorable electric vehicle (EV) policies, the willingness of the public sector to take the lead and citizens support to adopt clean technology. Norway has rapidly become one of the newcomers with large numbers of registered electric vehicles according to its population size within a few years, despite lacking manufacturing electric vehicles (EVs) and equipment for transportation electrification. Germany is leading in the technological sector of transportation electrification within Europe with its prestigious top-selling electric vehicle brands in Germany, such as Volkswagen, Mercedes Benz, BMW, Smart, and Audi, and establishing a battery Gigafactory with an annual potential production capacity of 60 GWh. However, Germany is still lagging behind from the societal perspective of not having enough sales of electric vehicles compared to gasoline-based vehicles. Sweden is a rapidly growing country in the electrification of transport, with three vehicle manufacturers introducing EVs in 2021 and developing electric roads system for more than ten years. Sweden is also working on establishing a new 50 GWh battery manufacturing plant in Gothenburg, Sweden. The UK is also catching up with its other European countries in transforming the transportation system with its strong government support. The British government has kept transportation electrification on its national agenda and considering building a Gigafactory to obtain a position as a future battery leader. However, the UK's adoption rate of electric vehicles is still slow compared to fossil-based vehicles. India, Australia, and Slovenia are far behind in the process of transportation transformation than China, Norway, Germany, Sweden, and the UK. One of the common reasons in all these countries is their governments' baby steps even though they have high ambitions. Their governments require a revolutionized and systems approach to enable remarkable change in the transformation process.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Sweden-China Bridge , 2022. , p. 107
Keywords [en]
Electric transport, technology readiness, political readiness, societal readiness, economic readiness, System approach.
National Category
Economics Public Administration Studies Vehicle Engineering Energy Engineering Transport Systems and Logistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hh:diva-47983ISBN: 978-91-987011-6-6 (electronic)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hh-47983DiVA, id: diva2:1691754
Projects
Collaborative Academic Platform for the Electrification of Transportation Systems
Funder
Swedish Transport Administration
Note

Paper - 5

Report number: 2022-7

Available from: 2022-08-30 Created: 2022-08-30 Last updated: 2023-08-25Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Sustainable Electromobility: A System Approach to Transformation of Transportation
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Sustainable Electromobility: A System Approach to Transformation of Transportation
2023 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Electrification of transportation is generally analyzed from a technical aspect. Whereas the technical aspect is merely one of the main aspects of transforming the transportation system from fossil-based to electric. The other significant aspects, such as political, societal, and economic, are mostly neglected that can empower the transformation processes. This thesis aims to explore, analyze, and develop knowledge that leads to an understanding of identifying the key actors and their symbiotic relationships and dependencies in transforming the energy and transportation system from fossil-based to renewable and fossil fuel-powered vehicles to electric. 

The research was explorative and categorized into two studies. The Study – I focuses on the technological development that leads toward transforming from the old fossil-based analog electricity generation and distribution system to the new digitalized renewable system.This study further explores the impact of these disruptive technologies on the market and society, and the challenges hindering the implementation and adoption of the new energysystem. Study – II focuses on developing new knowledge and understanding by integrating technological, political, societal, and economic aspects into one model and named it a 'multidimensional readiness index model.' This model can serve as an analytical tool and provide a broader perspective for exploring, analyzing, evaluating, and determining the countries' positions in transforming the transformation system. The model has been applied to eight countries, two from Asia (China and India) and Australia and five from Europe (Germany, Norway, Sweden, Slovenia, and the UK). The kappa synthesizes the exploration of the papers. Additionally, the system approach is applied to explore and understand the symbiotic relationship in the new ecosystem among the key actors and stakeholders and their significant role in transforming the transportation system from fossil-based to electric. 

The main conclusion is that the countries with a higher symbiotic relationship among the key actors achieved a higher level of readiness in transforming the transportation system. In contrast, other countries with a low symbiotic relationship among the key actors are slowly catching up or even far behind in transforming the transportation system towards electrification. 

 The analysis shows that a higher level of readiness in transforming the transportation system is achieved by the countries where their government took firm decisions to integrate their associated manufacturing industries and society into their national agenda. China is one example of these countries leading globally in manufacturing and sales of electric vehicles. Norway does not manufacture electric vehicles. However, Norway is leading globally with the highest market share of electric vehicles. The Norwegian government uses its economic means to compensate for the price differentiation with its policies and provide subsidies and rebates to the buyers of electric vehicles. In countries that have adopted a fragmented approach toward transportation electrification and are waiting for the industries to take further initiatives, slow progress can be seen in those countries, such as Germany, Sweden, and the UK. Countries where the government showed less interest in electrification, even though they have introduced some policies, are still far behind in transforming the transportation system, such as India, Australia, and Slovenia. 

The key message is that the political role is decisive in transforming the energy and transportation system. It is a revolutionary change requiring enormous investment and political support to stabilize the industry and the market to compensate as the new actors enter the manufacturing industry and threaten the old firms. The new products enter the market and threaten the old businesses. The new political policies and regulations are required to balance the price differences between electric and fossil fuel vehicles by providing subsidies or rebates to encourage society to adopt change. Thus, energy and transportation industries are intertwined and operate under the umbrella of government rules and regulations. Without firm political support, the entire transformation from a fossil-based to an electric system is difficult to achieve. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Halmstad: Halmstad University Press, 2023. p. 164
Series
Halmstad University Dissertations ; 99
Keywords
Energy system, Transportation System, System Approach, Symbiotic Business Model, Innovation Ecosystem, Technology Readiness, Political Readiness, Societal Readiness, Economic Readiness
National Category
Economics and Business
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hh:diva-51506 (URN)978-91-89587-11-3 (ISBN)978-91-89587-10-6 (ISBN)
Public defence
2023-09-15, R4129, House R, Halmstad University, Sweden, Halmstad, 09:10 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2023-08-25 Created: 2023-08-25 Last updated: 2023-08-25Bibliographically approved

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Bhatti, Harrison JohnDanilovic, Mike

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