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Mondrian conformal anomaly detection for fault sequence identification in heterogeneous fleets
Halmstad University, School of Information Technology, Halmstad Embedded and Intelligent Systems Research (EIS).
Halmstad University, School of Information Technology, Halmstad Embedded and Intelligent Systems Research (EIS), CAISR - Center for Applied Intelligent Systems Research.
Halmstad University, School of Information Technology, Halmstad Embedded and Intelligent Systems Research (EIS), CAISR - Center for Applied Intelligent Systems Research.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2859-6155
Halmstad University, School of Business, Innovation and Sustainability, The Rydberg Laboratory for Applied Sciences (RLAS).
2021 (English)In: Neurocomputing, ISSN 0925-2312, E-ISSN 1872-8286, Vol. 462, p. 591-606Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We considered the case of monitoring a large fleet where heterogeneity in the operational behavior among its constituent units (i.e., systems or machines) is non-negligible, and no labeled data is available. Each unit in the fleet, referred to as a target, is tracked by its sub-fleet. A conformal sub-fleet (CSF) is a set of units that act as a proxy for the normal operational behavior of a target unit by relying on the Mondrian conformal anomaly detection framework. Two approaches, the k-nearest neighbors and conformal clustering, were investigated for constructing such a sub-fleet by formulating a stability criterion. Moreover, it is important to discover the sub-sequence of events that describes an anomalous behavior in a target unit. Hence, we proposed to extract such sub-sequences for further investigation without pre-specifying their length. We refer to it as a conformal anomaly sequence (CAS). Furthermore, different nonconformity measures were evaluated for their efficiency, i.e., their ability to detect anomalous behavior in a target unit, based on the length of the observed CAS and the S-criterion value. The CSF approach was evaluated in the context of monitoring district heating substations. Anomalous behavior sub-sequences were corroborated with the domain expert leading to the conclusion that the proposed approach has the potential to be useful for both diagnostic and knowledge extraction purposes, especially in domains where labeled data is not available or hard to obtain. © 2021

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2021. Vol. 462, p. 591-606
Keywords [en]
Conformal anomaly detection, Conformal anomaly sequence (CAS), District heating, Sub-fleet based monitoring, Substation monitoring
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:hh:diva-45735DOI: 10.1016/j.neucom.2021.08.016ISI: 000696933600013Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85115660223OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hh-45735DiVA, id: diva2:1603464
Available from: 2021-10-15 Created: 2021-10-15 Last updated: 2022-02-01Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Towards conformal methods for large-scale monitoring of district heating substations
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Towards conformal methods for large-scale monitoring of district heating substations
2022 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Increasing technical complexity, design variations, and customization options of IoT units create difficulties for the construction of monitoring infrastructure. These units can be associated with different domains, such as a fleet of vehicles in the mobility domain and a fleet of heat-pumps in the heating domain. The lack of labeled datasets and well-understood prior unit and fleet behavior models exacerbates the problem. Moreover, the time-series nature of the data makes it difficult to strike a reasonable balance between precision and detection delay. The thesis aims to develop a framework for scalable and cost-efficient monitoring of industrial fleets. The investigations were conducted on real-world operational data obtained from District Heating (DH) substations to detect anomalous behavior and faults. A foundational hypothesis of the thesis is that fleet-level models can mitigate the lack of labeled datasets, improve anomaly detection performance, and achieve a scalable monitoring alternative.

Our preliminary investigations found that operational heterogeneity among the substations in a DH network can cause fleet-level models to be inefficient in detecting anomalous behavior at the target units. An alternative is to rely on subfleet-level models to act as a proxy for the behavior of target units. However, the main difficulty in constructing a subfleet-level model is the selection of its members such that their behavior is stable over time and representative of the target unit. Therefore, we investigated various ways of constructing the subfleets and estimating their stability. To mitigate the lack of well-understood prior unit and fleet behavior models, we proposed constructing Unit-Level and Subfleet-Level Ensemble Models, i.e., ULEM and SLEM. Herein, each member of the respective ensemble consists of a Conformal Anomaly Detector (CAD). Each ensemble yields a nonconformity score matrix that provides information about the behavior of a target unit relative to its historical data and its subfleet, respectively. However, these ensemble models can give different information about the nature of an anomaly that may not always agree with each other. Therefore, we further synthesized this information by proposing a Combined Ensemble Model (CEM). We investigated the advantages and limitations of decisions that rely on the information obtained from ULEM, SLEM, and CEM using precision and detection delay. We observed the decisions that relied on the information obtained through CEM showed a reduction in overall false alarms compared to those obtained through ULEM or SLEM, albeit at the cost of some detection delay. Finally, we combined the components of ULEM, SLEM, and CEM into what we refer to as TRANTOR: a conformal anomaly detection based indusTRiAl fleet moNiTORing framework. The proposed framework is expected to enable fleet operators in various domains to improve their monitoring infrastructure by efficiently detecting anomalous behavior and controlling false alarms at the target units.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Halmstad: Halmstad University Press, 2022. p. 98
Series
Halmstad University Dissertations ; 84
National Category
Computer and Information Sciences Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:hh:diva-46276 (URN)978-91-88749-77-2 (ISBN)978-91-88749-78-9 (ISBN)
Public defence
2022-03-08, Wigforss (J102), Visionen, Halmstad, 13:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2022-02-07 Created: 2022-02-01 Last updated: 2022-04-27Bibliographically approved

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Farouq, ShirazByttner, StefanBouguelia, Mohamed-RafikGadd, Henrik

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