hh.sePublikationer
Ändra sökning
RefereraExporteraLänk till posten
Permanent länk

Direktlänk
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Annat format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annat språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
A novel approach to exploring company’s financial soundness: Investor’s perspective
Kaunas University of Technology, Kaunas, Lithuania.
Högskolan i Halmstad, Sektionen för Informationsvetenskap, Data– och Elektroteknik (IDE), Halmstad Embedded and Intelligent Systems Research (EIS), CAISR Centrum för tillämpade intelligenta system (IS-lab).ORCID-id: 0000-0003-2185-8973
2013 (Engelska)Ingår i: Expert systems with applications, ISSN 0957-4174, E-ISSN 1873-6793, Vol. 40, nr 13, s. 5085-5092Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

Prediction of company's life cycle stage change; creation of an ordered 2D map allowing to explore company's financial soundness from a rating agency perspective; and prediction of trends of main valuation attributes usually used by investors are the main objectives of this article. The developed algorithms are based on a random forest (RF) and a nonlinear data mapping technique ''t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding''. Information from five different perspectives, namely balance, income, cash flow, stock price, and risk indicators was aggregated via proximity matrices of RF to enable exploration of company's financial soundness from a rating agency perspective. The proposed use of information not only from companies' financial statements but also from the stock price and risk indicators perspectives has proved useful in creating ordered 2D maps of rated companies. The companies were well ordered according to the credit risk rating assigned by the Moody's rating agency. Results of experimental investigations substantiate that the developed models are capable of predicting short term trends of the main valuation attributes, providing valuable information for investors, with low error. The models reflect financial soundness of actions taken by company's management team. It was also found that company's life cycle stage change can be determined with the average accuracy of 72.7%. Bearing in mind fuzziness of the transition moment, the obtained prediction accuracy is rather encouraging. © 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
Oxford: Pergamon Press, 2013. Vol. 40, nr 13, s. 5085-5092
Nyckelord [en]
Committee, Random forest, Data proximity, Classification, Variable selection, Financial soundness
Nationell ämneskategori
Teknik och teknologier
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:hh:diva-22972DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2013.03.031ISI: 000320210900005Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-84878343900OAI: oai:DiVA.org:hh-22972DiVA, id: diva2:630745
Tillgänglig från: 2013-06-19 Skapad: 2013-06-19 Senast uppdaterad: 2017-12-06Bibliografiskt granskad

Open Access i DiVA

Fulltext saknas i DiVA

Övriga länkar

Förlagets fulltextScopus

Personposter BETA

Verikas, Antanas

Sök vidare i DiVA

Av författaren/redaktören
Verikas, Antanas
Av organisationen
CAISR Centrum för tillämpade intelligenta system (IS-lab)
I samma tidskrift
Expert systems with applications
Teknik och teknologier

Sök vidare utanför DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetricpoäng

doi
urn-nbn
Totalt: 192 träffar
RefereraExporteraLänk till posten
Permanent länk

Direktlänk
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • harvard1
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Annat format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annat språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf